CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.
Eight people were killed when the Israeli army attacked a house in the central part of Gaza, and eight people were killed and many others were injured when the Israeli army bombed a house in Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of Gaza on the evening of 10th local time.Galaxy Securities: Macro-policies have increased the accumulation of positive factors in bank fundamentals. The china galaxy Securities Research Report said that the macro-policy upgrade has exceeded expectations and supported the growth of bank credit. Bank spreads are still under pressure, but the release of debt cost optimization results is expected to form support. Preventing and resolving the risk orientation in key areas remains unchanged, and the asset quality and risk expectation of banks are expected to benefit. The positive factors in the fundamentals of banking operations have accumulated, and we will continue to be optimistic about the allocation value of the banking sector and maintain the recommended rating. For individual stocks, ICBC, China Construction Bank, Postal Savings Bank, Jiangsu Bank and Changshu Bank are recommended.Google asked the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to terminate the exclusive cloud service agreement between Microsoft and OpenAI.
Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.Citic Jiantou: The demand for promoting the release of opinions on the pipeline network and water renovation in resilient cities is expected to increase. According to the research report of CITIC Jiantou, recently, the general offices of the General Office of the Central Committee of the CPC and the State Council issued the Opinions on Promoting the Construction of New Urban Infrastructure to Create a Resilient City, which clearly stated that it is necessary to build an intelligent and efficient new urban infrastructure system and continuously improve the resilience of urban facilities, management and space. Specifically, the Opinions propose that by 2027, the construction of new urban infrastructure will make significant progress, and the supporting role for the construction of resilient cities will be continuously enhanced, forming a number of experiences and practices that can be replicated and promoted. In addition, the Opinions also proposes the implementation of intelligent municipal infrastructure construction and transformation, and the digital transformation and upgrading and intelligent management of urban water supply, drainage, power supply, gas, heat, fire hydrants (fire cranes), underground utility tunnel and other municipal infrastructure according to local conditions. We believe that in the process of building a resilient city, the demand for urban infrastructure renewal and construction is expected to continue to grow, and related water and sanitation equipment enterprises are expected to benefit.In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever in Brazil exceeded 6.76 million. On December 10, local time, according to the latest data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, this year, the number of suspected and confirmed cases of dengue fever in Brazil rose to 6,763,743, and the number of deaths rose to 5,950, with another 1,091 deaths to be verified. In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever infection in Brazil reached a record high since the country's epidemic record, which was three times that of 2023. The death toll of dengue fever has also reached a record high, four times that of 2023. The regions with the highest infection rates are federal capital territory, minas gerais, Balana and Sã o Paulo.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13